Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Leon in this match.