Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
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