SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Pumas |
48.87% ( 0.49) | 23.89% ( 0.05) | 27.23% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% ( -0.62) | 44.25% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( -0.61) | 66.63% ( 0.6) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0.05) | 18.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.75% ( -0.09) | 49.24% ( 0.08) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( -0.72) | 29.75% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( -0.88) | 65.82% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.87% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 27.23% |
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