SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Pumas |
39.96% ( 0.07) | 23.7% ( 0.06) | 36.34% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.5% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.51% ( -0.3) | 39.49% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.16% ( -0.32) | 61.83% ( 0.32) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.1) | 20.06% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.71% ( -0.16) | 52.28% ( 0.16) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( -0.2) | 21.81% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.97% ( -0.31) | 55.03% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 39.96% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.34% |
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