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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
18.96% ( -0.23) | 20.62% ( -0.15) | 60.42% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( 0.33) | 38.61% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( 0.35) | 60.91% ( -0.36) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( -0.04) | 33.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.04) | 70.51% ( 0.03) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( 0.21) | 12.4% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.7% ( 0.43) | 38.3% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 18.96% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.88% Total : 60.42% |
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