SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
18.69% ( 0.46) | 20.47% ( 0.11) | 60.83% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.64% ( 0.25) | 38.35% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.36% ( 0.27) | 60.63% ( -0.27) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( 0.65) | 33.96% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.35% ( 0.69) | 70.64% ( -0.7) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.78% ( -0.09) | 12.21% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.11% ( -0.18) | 37.88% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 18.69% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.17)0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.97% Total : 60.83% |
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