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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
BayArena
BL

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Bayern

Stanisic (18'), Grimaldo (50'), Frimpong (90+5')
Tapsoba (64'), Adli (77'), Hradecky (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boey (36'), Goretzka (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBayern Munich
37.61% (-0.352 -0.35) 23.34% (0.275 0.28) 39.05% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 64.03% (-1.094 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.46% (-1.41 -1.41)37.54% (1.41 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.23% (-1.53 -1.53)59.77% (1.529 1.53)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (-0.789 -0.79)20.31% (0.788 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31% (-1.271 -1.27)52.69% (1.27 1.27)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.571 -0.57)19.64% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.939 -0.94)51.6% (0.939 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 37.61%
    Bayern Munich 39.05%
    Draw 23.33%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.277 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.266 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.323 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.172 0.17)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 39.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, January 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Basel 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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