SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
24.72% ( 0.46) | 23.76% ( 0.05) | 51.52% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 55.52% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( 0.2) | 45.7% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( 0.19) | 68.02% ( -0.2) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( 0.5) | 32.49% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( 0.56) | 69.02% ( -0.57) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( -0.12) | 17.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.55% ( -0.2) | 48.44% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.72% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.52% |
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