SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Chengdu Rongcheng has a probability of 35.8% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win is 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
38.72% ( -0.23) | 25.48% ( -0.12) | 35.8% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( 0.57) | 47.92% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( 0.52) | 70.09% ( -0.52) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( 0.14) | 24.37% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% ( 0.19) | 58.78% ( -0.19) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.47) | 25.98% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( 0.63) | 61% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 35.8% |
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