SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Luton Town |
41.44% ( 0.01) | 25.57% ( 0) | 32.99% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% ( -0.02) | 48.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( -0.01) | 70.92% ( 0.01) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0) | 23.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( -0) | 57.36% ( 0) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.02) | 28.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.02) | 63.79% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.99% |
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