While there are still 11 matches of the season remaining, this feels like a pivotal fixture, particularly for the visitors. However, despite the door being ajar for Luton to kick on, we fancy QPR to claim a share of the spoils at Kenilworth Road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.