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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Luton Town |
41.69% ( 0.02) | 26.74% ( 0.01) | 31.58% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% ( -0.03) | 54.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% ( -0.02) | 75.48% ( 0.02) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( -0) | 25.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% ( -0) | 60.46% ( -0) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( -0.03) | 31.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( -0.04) | 68.08% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.58% |
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