SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
25.4% ( 1.75) | 24.06% ( 0.44) | 50.54% ( -2.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.54% ( -0.26) | 46.45% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.26% ( -0.25) | 68.73% ( 0.25) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( 1.34) | 32.34% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% ( 1.49) | 68.85% ( -1.49) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( -0.93) | 18.41% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.42% ( -1.6) | 49.57% ( 1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.4% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.53% |
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