SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
44.06% ( -0.06) | 23.85% ( -0) | 32.09% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.72% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( 0.03) | 41.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.29% ( 0.04) | 63.71% ( -0.04) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( -0.01) | 19.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.42% ( -0.02) | 50.58% ( 0.02) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( 0.05) | 25.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( 0.07) | 59.69% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.09% |
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