SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Almeria |
24.57% ( 0.93) | 25.56% ( 0.69) | 49.87% ( -1.63) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% ( -1.9) | 53.26% ( 1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( -1.64) | 74.82% ( 1.63) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.25% ( -0.2) | 36.74% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( -0.21) | 73.53% ( 0.2) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( -1.44) | 21.38% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.63% ( -2.28) | 54.36% ( 2.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.57% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.37% Total : 49.87% |
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