SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | San Lorenzo |
47.75% ( 0.18) | 28.3% ( -0.04) | 23.95% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 41.87% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.87% ( 0.03) | 63.14% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.44% ( 0.02) | 82.57% ( -0.02) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( 0.1) | 26.68% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( 0.13) | 61.93% ( -0.13) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.11% ( -0.12) | 42.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.8% ( -0.1) | 79.2% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 15.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.05% Total : 23.95% |
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