SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 36.96%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Union had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.77%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Union |
36.96% ( -0.15) | 31.64% ( 0.07) | 31.4% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 37.79% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.95% ( -0.18) | 70.05% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.73% ( -0.12) | 87.26% ( 0.12) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% ( -0.2) | 36.49% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.72% ( -0.21) | 73.27% ( 0.21) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.5% ( -0.05) | 40.5% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.89% ( -0.04) | 77.1% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.89% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.95% | 0-0 @ 14.77% ( 0.1) 1-1 @ 13.46% 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.63% | 0-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 31.39% |
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