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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Belgrano |
53.59% ( -0.66) | 26.52% ( 0.29) | 19.89% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 41.8% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.19% ( -0.58) | 60.81% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.15% ( -0.44) | 80.85% ( 0.43) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( -0.53) | 22.92% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.31% ( -0.78) | 56.69% ( 0.78) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.23% ( 0.08) | 45.77% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.46% ( 0.06) | 81.54% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 15.45% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.52% Total : 53.58% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 19.89% |
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