SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.22%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | San Lorenzo |
40.22% ( -1.12) | 30.22% ( -0.31) | 29.55% ( 1.43) |
| Both teams to score 40.6% ( 1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.53% ( 1.29) | 66.47% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.1% ( 0.87) | 84.9% ( -0.87) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( 0.01) | 32.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( 0.01) | 68.98% ( -0.01) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.11% ( 1.93) | 39.89% ( -1.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.45% ( 1.73) | 76.55% ( -1.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% ( -0.71) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.4)2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.63)2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.22% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.41% Total : 29.55% |
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