SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | San Lorenzo |
46.18% ( -0.61) | 28.76% ( 0.31) | 25.05% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 41.63% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.08% ( -0.76) | 63.91% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.87% ( -0.55) | 83.12% ( 0.55) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.68) | 27.84% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.56% ( -0.87) | 63.44% ( 0.87) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.16) | 42.3% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.3% ( -0.14) | 78.7% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 15.06% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.62% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.75% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.12% Total : 25.05% |
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