SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Cartagena |
53.45% ( -0.07) | 27.22% ( 0.24) | 19.33% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 39.46% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.88) | 63.46% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.2% ( -0.64) | 82.8% ( 0.64) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.42) | 24.14% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( -0.6) | 58.44% ( 0.61) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.02% ( -0.72) | 47.99% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.78% ( -0.54) | 83.22% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 16.46% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.17% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.33% |
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