SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Racing de Santander |
46.48% ( -1.11) | 29.28% ( 0.45) | 24.25% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 39.82% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.14% ( -0.94) | 65.86% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.51% ( -0.65) | 84.49% ( 0.65) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( -1.03) | 28.64% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( -1.31) | 64.45% ( 1.31) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.8% ( 0.09) | 44.2% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.71% ( 0.07) | 80.29% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 15.82% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.46% Total : 46.47% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.27% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.24% |
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