SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 43.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Cartagena |
43.05% ( -0.76) | 28.73% ( 0.26) | 28.22% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 43.72% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.66% ( -0.64) | 62.33% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.02% ( -0.47) | 81.98% ( 0.47) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( -0.72) | 28.75% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( -0.91) | 64.58% ( 0.91) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.36% ( 0.05) | 38.63% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.62% ( 0.05) | 75.38% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.56% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 28.22% |
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