Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-0 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.34) 
