SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Airdrieonians |
52.04% ( 4.11) | 22.89% ( -0.68) | 25.06% ( -3.43) |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( 0.37) | 41.54% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( 0.37) | 63.94% ( -0.37) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( 1.65) | 16.03% ( -1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.62% ( 2.94) | 45.38% ( -2.94) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( -2.34) | 29.99% ( 2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% ( -2.92) | 66.1% ( 2.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.72)3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.47)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.68)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.41)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.5% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.62) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.5)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.33)Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.06% |
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