SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Cliftonville |
46.42% ( 4.43) | 24.03% ( -0.26) | 29.54% ( -4.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.68% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( -0.55) | 43.39% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0.54) | 65.79% ( 0.55) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( 1.69) | 18.87% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.67% ( 2.74) | 50.33% ( -2.73) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( -2.88) | 27.68% ( 2.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.77% ( -3.85) | 63.23% ( 3.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.43) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.65)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.88)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.49)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.67)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.35)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.33% Total : 46.42% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.65) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.57)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.46)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.54% |
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