Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
