SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Glenavon |
40.96% ( -0.16) | 24.77% ( -0.03) | 34.26% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.05% ( 0.18) | 44.95% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% ( 0.17) | 67.3% ( -0.17) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0) | 21.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.8% ( -0) | 55.2% ( 0) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 0.19) | 25.47% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% ( 0.27) | 60.31% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.96% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.26% |
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