SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rapid Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
33.83% ( -0.11) | 24.05% ( 0.06) | 42.12% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.68% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.35% ( -0.32) | 41.65% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( -0.33) | 64.05% ( 0.33) |
| Rapid Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( -0.21) | 24.16% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( -0.31) | 58.48% ( 0.31) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( -0.11) | 19.99% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.82% ( -0.18) | 52.18% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rapid Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.83% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 42.12% |
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