Ten years have passed since Rayo managed to overcome Real Betis in Spain's top flight, and we are expecting that run to continue this weekend. The visitors need to bounce back to aid their top-six hopes, and we can see Pellegrini's side navigating their way to a narrow success on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.51) 
