Rayo have lost four of their last five La Liga games on their travels, while as mentioned, they have not managed to overcome Real Betis in Spain's top flight since April 2014. We are expecting a close game on Monday night but believe that the hosts will be able to navigate their way to all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
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