Rayo Vallecano have only lost once at home in the league this season, while Real Betis have won just two of their seven games on their travels, so it is not straightforward to pick an away victory here. The Green and Whites will believe that they have the players to collect all three points, but we have settled on a draw, as Rayo Vallecano will also bring a seven-game unbeaten run in La Liga into the contest.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.21) 
-0.23) 
