Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rayo Zuliano had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Rayo Zuliano win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.09) 
