Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
0.04) 
-0.07) 
