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Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
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Athletico PR
1 - 0
Internacional

Canobbio (71')
Godoy (9'), Fernandinho (79'), Heleno (82'), Canobbio (87')
Canobbio (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mallo (8'), Renan (29'), Zwarg (36'), Vitao (45'), Wesley (86')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Internacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawInternacional
61% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 22.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 16.84% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)48.93% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (-0.206 -0.21)71.02% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)15.57% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.46% (-0.118 -0.12)44.54% (0.114 0.11)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (-0.224 -0.22)42.4% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22% (-0.191 -0.19)78.78% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 60.98%
    Internacional 16.84%
    Draw 22.16%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 12.27% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 60.98%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.16%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 16.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 4-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 6-0 Rayo Zuliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ameliano 1-4 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Athletico PR
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Santos
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Internacional
Thursday, April 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, April 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Real Tomayapo
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Belgrano 0-0 Internacional
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-2 Internacional
Saturday, December 2 at 9pm in Brasileiro


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