SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
58.01% ( -1.56) | 22.32% ( 0.43) | 19.66% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.69% ( -0.23) | 45.31% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( -0.22) | 67.64% ( 0.22) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( -0.58) | 15.33% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% ( -1.11) | 44.07% ( 1.11) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.99% ( 1.09) | 37.01% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.2% ( 1.07) | 73.8% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.31)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.49% Total : 58.01% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.66% |
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