SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
55.39% ( 2.46) | 20.82% ( -0.97) | 23.79% ( -1.49) |
| Both teams to score 64.85% ( 1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.07% ( 3.18) | 32.93% ( -3.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.35% ( 3.57) | 54.65% ( -3.57) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( 1.8) | 12.02% ( -1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.51% ( 3.69) | 37.49% ( -3.69) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( 0.62) | 26.29% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% ( 0.82) | 61.41% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.19)1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.67)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.39)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.42)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.32)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.27)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.18)4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.16)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.71% Total : 55.39% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.56)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.66)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.79% |
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