Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
0.52) 
-0.21) 
