SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Elche |
38.07% ( 0.15) | 29.99% ( 0.04) | 31.94% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 41.84% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.69% ( -0.14) | 65.31% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.89% ( -0.1) | 84.1% ( 0.1) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( 0.02) | 33.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% ( 0.02) | 69.78% ( -0.02) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.21) | 37.38% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% ( -0.21) | 74.16% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.99% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 31.93% |
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