SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Espanyol |
41.35% ( -0.34) | 28.66% ( 0.16) | 29.99% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.71% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.49% ( -0.45) | 61.51% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.63% ( -0.34) | 81.37% ( 0.34) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.41) | 29.29% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -0.5) | 65.25% ( 0.51) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.23% ( -0.1) | 36.77% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.44% ( -0.1) | 73.56% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.53% Total : 41.35% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 29.98% |
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