Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Amorebieta
53.85% ( 0.5)	26.91% ( 0.04)	19.24% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 40.05% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.38% (

-0.65)

62.62% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.81% (

-0.48)

82.19% (

0.48)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

-0.06)

23.59% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.34% (

-0.09)

57.66% (

0.09)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.41% (

-1.02)

47.58% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.07% (

-0.77)

82.92% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 53.84%

Amorebieta 19.24%

Draw 26.9%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Amorebieta
1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 53.84%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.24%