SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Dallas |
49.19% ( -0.05) | 26.79% ( 0) | 24.02% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.78% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% ( 0.03) | 58.15% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.19% ( 0.03) | 78.8% ( -0.03) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( -0.01) | 23.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( -0.01) | 57.88% ( 0.01) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.03% ( 0.07) | 39.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.38% ( 0.06) | 76.62% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.18% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 24.02% |
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