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Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
NY

Houston
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Ibrahim (7')
Clark (36'), Dorsey (65'), Ibrahim (74'), Escobar (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manoel (43'), Morgan (59')
Amaya (64'), Harper (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are solid defensive units, but we are giving the Dynamo the edge because they are at home and may have a little more space in the attacking third if Tolkin is not available as we anticipate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.32% (-0.79 -0.79) 25.08% (0.332 0.33) 22.6% (0.451 0.45)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-0.844 -0.84)53.14% (0.84 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (-0.722 -0.72)74.71% (0.717 0.72)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (-0.652 -0.65)20.3% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (-1.046 -1.05)52.67% (1.04 1.04)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)38.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 52.31%
    New York Red Bulls 22.6%
    Draw 25.08%
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.46% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Kansas
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Houston
Wednesday, February 21 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Houston
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Kansas
Monday, November 27 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Salt Lake (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, November 11 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Cincinnati (8-7 pen.)
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 5-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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