SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lorient |
63.83% ( 0.67) | 20.17% ( -0.06) | 16% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( -0.88) | 41.76% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( -0.89) | 64.16% ( 0.89) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( -0.08) | 12.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.7% ( -0.16) | 38.3% ( 0.16) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( -1.29) | 39.12% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.16% ( -1.23) | 75.84% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.37)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.17% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.1)Other @ 2% Total : 16% |
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