SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Club Libertad |
69.11% ( 0.03) | 18.26% ( -0.02) | 12.63% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( 0.03) | 40.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( 0.03) | 62.82% ( -0.03) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.38% ( 0.02) | 10.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.57% ( 0.03) | 34.43% ( -0.04) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.93% ( -0.02) | 43.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.65% ( -0.01) | 79.35% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Club Libertad |
| 2-0 @ 11.49% 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.05% 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 4.21% Total : 69.09% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 18.26% | 0-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.63% |
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