SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 80.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 6.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.05%) and 1-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Millonarios |
80.19% ( 0.13) | 13.5% ( -0.07) | 6.31% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.19% ( 0.14) | 38.81% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.87% ( 0.14) | 61.12% ( -0.14) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.38% ( 0.06) | 7.62% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.76% ( 0.15) | 27.24% ( -0.15) |
| Millonarios Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.38% ( -0.06) | 55.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.75% ( -0.04) | 88.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Millonarios |
| 2-0 @ 14.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 80.18% | 1-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 13.5% | 0-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 6.31% |
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