While it is unusual to see Flamengo potentially on the brink of elimination at this stage, we believe their experience in win-or-go-home scenarios, along with their strong form at home, will enable them to prolong their Libertadores adventure into the last 16.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
0.05) 
-0.04) 
