Two teams in fine form meet on Saturday evening, when the hosts' new-found confidence will be truly put to the test. Roma (15) and Inter (14) have scored more goals than any other sides in the final 15 minutes of Serie A matches this season, so it could make for an eventful climax.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.14) 
