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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
SL

Roma
1 - 0
Sassuolo

Pellegrini (50')
Pellegrini (59'), Azmoun (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Erlic (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Roma
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 3-1 Sassuolo

Even if they do not open up a decisive lead before the closing stages, Roma should still make sure they prevail. The hosts have scored more goals during the last 15 minutes this season than any other Serie A side (18), while Sassuolo have shipped no fewer than 16 during that crucial time period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawSassuolo
64.81% (0.17400000000001 0.17) 19.62% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 15.57% (-0.225 -0.23)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.732 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.693 -0.69)40.12% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-0.721 -0.72)62.49% (0.721 0.72)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (-0.157 -0.16)11.65% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.3% (-0.339 -0.34)36.7% (0.34 0.34)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (-0.717 -0.72)38.68% (0.717 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (-0.683 -0.68)75.41% (0.685 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Roma 64.81%
    Sassuolo 15.57%
    Draw 19.62%
RomaDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 10.41% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.249 0.25)
3-0 @ 7.46% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 64.81%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.143 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Roma
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Roma
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Brighton
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monza 1-4 Roma
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-2 Torino
Monday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Feyenoord (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 3 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-6 Napoli
Wednesday, February 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Saturday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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