SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
63.14% ( 4.57) | 21.02% ( -1.53) | 15.84% ( -3.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.07% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( 1.51) | 45.89% ( -1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( 1.42) | 68.2% ( -1.42) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% ( 1.97) | 13.89% ( -1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.68% ( 3.75) | 41.32% ( -3.75) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.15% ( -2.78) | 41.85% ( 2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.7% ( -2.51) | 78.3% ( 2.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.82)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.45% ( 1)3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.43)4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.71)4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.36)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.71% Total : 63.13% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.02% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.76) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.68)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.53)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.7% Total : 15.84% |
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