SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.02%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
54.4% ( 0.93) | 27.24% ( -0.32) | 18.35% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 38.09% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.52% ( 0.32) | 64.47% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.48% ( 0.23) | 83.52% ( -0.23) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.56) | 24.16% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% ( 0.79) | 58.48% ( -0.79) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.55) | 49.77% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.5% ( -0.39) | 84.49% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 17.08% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 54.4% | 0-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.14) 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.35% |
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